03262017Sun
Last updateFri, 24 Mar 2017 2pm

i

Valve Selection in Pulp and Paper Operations

Valve Selection in Pulp and Paper Operations

Over the centuries, the pulp and paper i...

How to Improve Control Valve Performance with Positioners

How to Improve Control Valve Performance with Positioners

As the final control element in most pro...

VMA Technical Event: Engineering Valves in the Extreme

VMA Technical Event: Engineering Valves in the Extreme

While much the 2017 VMA Technical Semina...

FEL: The Preferred Phase for Valve Technical Definition

FEL: The Preferred Phase for Valve Technical Definition

A typical oil and gas capital project cy...

The Weekly Report

New Products

  • ja-news-2
  • ja-news-3

Industry Headlines

Kansas City Fed Shows Manufacturing At 6-Year High

Friday, 24 March 2017  |  Chris Guy

Tenth District manufacturing activity strengthened further in March, and many indexes of expectations for future activity were at or near record highs...

Readmore

Loading...

Industry Headlines

GE Oil & Gas Expands with New Sub Saharan Africa Facility

2 DAYS AGO

GE Oil & Gas opened a new facility in Takoradi Port, Ghana, expanding its global footprint and supporting local investment. The facility, which will be the primary service center for deep-water offshore projects in Ghana, has a 1,600 square meter indoor test area with capability for testing thre...

Readmore

Metso Launches Digital Program to Accelerate Growth

3 DAYS AGO

Metso has set up a Digital Program to accelerate the company’s digital capabilities, which are required to succeed in the future of minerals processing and flow control. Metso's ambition is to become one of the digital leaders in the industries it serves. This means for example turning custome...

Readmore

Shell Looking to Lower Cost of Offshore Projects

2 DAYS AGO

“With oil prices hovering around $50 a barrel or less, and a rising amount of renewable energy chipping away at market share, Shell is going lean on its deepwater projects to make sure it can eke out a profit from all of its operations,” writes ChemInfo .

For example, Shell is attempting to ...

Readmore

Report Says PA Can Support Four More Ethane Crackers

2 DAYS AGO

A new report from IHS Markit, commissioned by the state of Pennsylvania, forecasts $2.7 to 3.7 billion in investments in natural gas liquid (NGL) assets as well as the opportunity to attract additional cracker plants, and petrochemical and plastics manufacturing. IHS Markit believes the Marcellus an...

Readmore

Kansas City Fed Shows Manufacturing At 6-Year High

1 DAY AGO

Tenth District manufacturing activity strengthened further in March, and many indexes of expectations for future activity were at or near record highs. Most price indexes increased moderately. The month-over-month composite index was 20 in March , its highest reading since March 2011, up from 14 in Fe...

Readmore

Consumer Sentiment Reaches Highest Level Since 2000

5 DAYS AGO

The overall level of consumer sentiment remained quite favorable in early March due to renewed strength in current economic conditions as well as the extraordinary influence of partisanship on economic prospects. The current economic conditions component reached its highest level since 2000, largely...

Readmore

2008 Market Outlook: Another Good Year

But get ready for a down cycle as we near the end of the first decade of the new millenium.

When members of the Valve Manufacturers Association gathered in Coronado Beach, CA in August for the association’s Annual Market Outlook Workshop, they listened intently to forecasts from a bakers’ dozen of economists and industry prognosticators. While much of the news was positive—most of the end-user industries served by VMA members appear to be on track for another healthy year—they also heard words of caution. In more than one instance, presenters mentioned the “R” word (recession), giving attendees plenty of food for thought as they plan beyond 2008. Two other themes echoed by speakers? The ever-dwindling workforce and the need to recognize how the North American valve industry is inextricably intertwined with the rest of the world.

 

A Recession is Coming

Alan Beaulieu, economist for the Institute for Trend Research, had some disquieting news for Outlook attendees: This nation will see a recession in the year 2010.

However, he insisted the news was not necessarily all bad.

The good news is, we have a couple more quarters of prosperity,” he said.

Beaulieu said the economy is running just about where he predicted it would go at last year’s workshop, though he’s lowered the figures somewhat for the rest of 2007 and 2008. By 2009, the economy will start to go weak and by 2010, it will take a dip, he said.

“We have no empirical indications yet, but home prices are just the tip of the iceberg,” Beaulieu said. He expects to see oil prices heating up this winter, edging up above $80/barrel in the first half of next year. He also said wage inflation in many sectors has already started.

And he said the Fed will raise rates by 50 to 75 basis points in early 2008, “which doesn’t sound like much,” but, as a nation that carries a lot of debt, the extra $400 a month per household that would result, for instance, could have a chilling effect.

Also, by 2010 there will be a new president who will be facing a number of problems, many of which are tied to the aging Boomer generation. “Whoever is president will be dealing with Social Security, Medicare, drug programs, all of which are budget busters,” he said.

The need to pay for these and other entitlement programs will mean the U.S. will need to borrow money, which puts the country at a global disadvantage, Beaulieu added.

One advantage this nation does have is its demographics, he said. Unlike some countries, “we’re having kids,” at a rate of about 2.1, which is balancing out retirees. In comparison, Russia, where male life expectancy is only 57, is shrinking and will lose 50 million by 2050, “which is the equivalent of the Bubonic Plague,” Beaulieu pointed out. And India, though it will grow almost as much as the U.S., is dealing with a land mass one-third the size.

The U.S. also has industrial advantages. For example, when comparing U.S. Industrial Production to its Gross Domestic Product, “we spend most of our time in a positive track, and we have been for a long time,” Beaulieu said. Currently, goods and services as a percent of GDP is the highest it’s been since World War II.

“We are a profitable nation and prosperous. We are first in technological readiness, quality of research, productivity, profits,” Beaulieu said.

The U.S. is also first in percentage of total world exports of goods and services with Germany, China and then Japan following next. And though many fear China’s growing strength, Beaulieu noted the country has significant demographic problems because of an aging population and restrictions on family size. It also has 125 million more men than women, which raises fears about violence, and significant pollution problems that are killing hundreds of thousands of people.

“China has been on steroids,” Beaulieu said, “but you don’t fix problems like these overnight.”

Beaulieu had these tidbits of advice:

  • Latest Post

  • Popular

  • Links

  • Events

Advertisement

Looking for a career in the Valve Industry?

ValveCareers Horiz

To learn more, watch the videos below or visit ValveCareers.com a special initiative of the Valve Manufacturers Association