06282017Wed
Last updateWed, 28 Jun 2017 5pm

i

Lubricants: Always Important—Sometimes Essential

Lubricants: Always Important—Sometimes Essential

Most valve professionals take more notic...

Why Air Valves are Needed in Water Applications

Why Air Valves are Needed in Water Applications

Air valves are hydromechanical devices d...

Achieving Profitability Through Maintenance Management

Achieving Profitability Through Maintenance Management

One of the distinctions between maintena...

Control Valve Positioner Performance Diagnostics

Control Valve Positioner Performance Diagnostics

There has been discussion for some years...

Subscribe vmspr17

FREE SUBSCRIPTION*

•  Print magazine
•  Digital magazine
•  VALVE eNews
Read the latest issue

*to qualified valve professionals in the U.S./Canada

The Weekly Report

New Products

  • ja-news-2
  • ja-news-3

Industry Headlines

U.S. Crude, Petroleum Exports Have More than Doubled Since 2010

Wednesday, 28 June 2017  |  Chris Guy

U.S. crude oil and petroleum product gross exports have more than doubled over the past six years, increasing from 2.4 million barrels per day (b/d) i...

Readmore

Loading...
Advertisement
i

Industry Headlines

Emerson in Talks to Acquire Software Company Paradigm Ltd.

1 DAY AGO

According to Bloomberg , Emerson is in talks to acquire software company Paradigm Ltd. for approximately $1.5 billion.

“Paradigm specializes in seismic data interpretation and imaging equipment to help oil and gas companies know where to drill. The logic of such a deal seems sound and will help Eme...

Readmore

VMA Members Lead MDM Top Industrial PVF Distributors List

2 DAYS AGO

Modern Distribution Management (MDM) recently published its Top Distributors list for 2017. Four of the top 5 distributors in the Industrial PVF category ; MRC Global, NOW Inc., Wolseley Industrial Group and FloWorks International; are currently VMA members.

“While oil & gas markets have start...

Readmore

U.S. Crude, Petroleum Exports Have More than Doubled Since 2010

3 HOURS AGO

U.S. crude oil and petroleum product gross exports have more than doubled over the past six years, increasing from 2.4 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2010 to 5.2 million b/d in 2016. Exports of distillate, gasoline, propane, and crude oil have all increased , but at different paces and for different...

Readmore

Mountain Valley Pipeline Gets Environmental Approval

1 DAY AGO

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) determined that construction and operation of the Mountain Valley Pipeline would result in some adverse environmental impacts, but the majority of these impacts would be reduced to less-than-significant levels. This determination is based on a review o...

Readmore

IMF Lowers Forecast for U.S. Growth to 2.1%

5 HOURS AGO

According to the newest forecast from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), growth in the U.S. is expected to rise 2.1% both this year and next, driven by continued solid consumption growth and a cyclical rebound in private investment. In its last forecast the IMF predicted 2.3% growth this year an...

Readmore

U.S. Durable Goods Orders Fell the Most in 18 Months

1 DAY AGO

New orders for manufactured durable goods in May decreased $2.5 billion or 1.1% to $228.2 billion, the U.S. Department of Commerce announced. This decrease, down two consecutive months, followed a 0.9% April decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.1%. Excluding defense, new orders...

Readmore

2008 Market Outlook: Another Good Year

But get ready for a down cycle as we near the end of the first decade of the new millenium.

When members of the Valve Manufacturers Association gathered in Coronado Beach, CA in August for the association’s Annual Market Outlook Workshop, they listened intently to forecasts from a bakers’ dozen of economists and industry prognosticators. While much of the news was positive—most of the end-user industries served by VMA members appear to be on track for another healthy year—they also heard words of caution. In more than one instance, presenters mentioned the “R” word (recession), giving attendees plenty of food for thought as they plan beyond 2008. Two other themes echoed by speakers? The ever-dwindling workforce and the need to recognize how the North American valve industry is inextricably intertwined with the rest of the world.

 

A Recession is Coming

Alan Beaulieu, economist for the Institute for Trend Research, had some disquieting news for Outlook attendees: This nation will see a recession in the year 2010.

However, he insisted the news was not necessarily all bad.

The good news is, we have a couple more quarters of prosperity,” he said.

Beaulieu said the economy is running just about where he predicted it would go at last year’s workshop, though he’s lowered the figures somewhat for the rest of 2007 and 2008. By 2009, the economy will start to go weak and by 2010, it will take a dip, he said.

“We have no empirical indications yet, but home prices are just the tip of the iceberg,” Beaulieu said. He expects to see oil prices heating up this winter, edging up above $80/barrel in the first half of next year. He also said wage inflation in many sectors has already started.

And he said the Fed will raise rates by 50 to 75 basis points in early 2008, “which doesn’t sound like much,” but, as a nation that carries a lot of debt, the extra $400 a month per household that would result, for instance, could have a chilling effect.

Also, by 2010 there will be a new president who will be facing a number of problems, many of which are tied to the aging Boomer generation. “Whoever is president will be dealing with Social Security, Medicare, drug programs, all of which are budget busters,” he said.

The need to pay for these and other entitlement programs will mean the U.S. will need to borrow money, which puts the country at a global disadvantage, Beaulieu added.

One advantage this nation does have is its demographics, he said. Unlike some countries, “we’re having kids,” at a rate of about 2.1, which is balancing out retirees. In comparison, Russia, where male life expectancy is only 57, is shrinking and will lose 50 million by 2050, “which is the equivalent of the Bubonic Plague,” Beaulieu pointed out. And India, though it will grow almost as much as the U.S., is dealing with a land mass one-third the size.

The U.S. also has industrial advantages. For example, when comparing U.S. Industrial Production to its Gross Domestic Product, “we spend most of our time in a positive track, and we have been for a long time,” Beaulieu said. Currently, goods and services as a percent of GDP is the highest it’s been since World War II.

“We are a profitable nation and prosperous. We are first in technological readiness, quality of research, productivity, profits,” Beaulieu said.

The U.S. is also first in percentage of total world exports of goods and services with Germany, China and then Japan following next. And though many fear China’s growing strength, Beaulieu noted the country has significant demographic problems because of an aging population and restrictions on family size. It also has 125 million more men than women, which raises fears about violence, and significant pollution problems that are killing hundreds of thousands of people.

“China has been on steroids,” Beaulieu said, “but you don’t fix problems like these overnight.”

Beaulieu had these tidbits of advice:

  • Latest Post

  • Popular

  • Links

  • Events

Advertisement

Looking for a career in the Valve Industry?

ValveCareers Horiz

To learn more, watch the videos below or visit ValveCareers.com a special initiative of the Valve Manufacturers Association