07252017Tue
Last updateMon, 24 Jul 2017 3pm

i

How to Choose the Best Rapid Prototyping Method

How to Choose the Best Rapid Prototyping Method

As new products are designed, including ...

Monitoring Valve Health via the Internet

Monitoring Valve Health via the Internet

Most valve end users are already using s...

Valves in Oxygen Service

Valves in Oxygen Service

In his presentation at VMA’s 2017 ...

Thermal Spray Coating

Thermal Spray Coating

Q: What are the pros and cons of us...

Subscribe SUM17

FREE SUBSCRIPTION*

•  Print magazine
•  Digital magazine
•  VALVE eNews
Read the latest issue

*to qualified valve professionals in the U.S./Canada

The Weekly Report

New Products

  • ja-news-2
  • ja-news-3

Industry Headlines

U.S. Fuel Ethanol Production Continues to Grow in 2017

Monday, 24 July 2017  |  Chris Guy

Through the first six months of 2017, U.S. weekly ethanol production averaged 1.02 million barrels per day (b/d), an increase of 5% over the same peri...

Readmore

Loading...
Advertisement
i

Web Only

How to Choose the Right Size and Type of Actuator

How to Choose the Right Size and Type of Actuator

Monday, 24 July 2017  |  Carlos Gamero

A common misconception in our industry is that actuating a valve is as simple as putting the most cost-efficient actuator on top of your valve of choi...

Readmore

Loading...

Industry Headlines

Badger Alloys Joins VMA as Associate Member

6 DAYS AGO

This week the Valve Manufacturers Association (VMA) welcomes Badger Alloys as an official associate supplier member. This is VMA’s fourth new member in 2017.

Located in the heart of Milwaukee and founded in 1966, Badger Alloys offers single source capabilities for custom castings. The company pou...

Readmore

Thermodyn Joins VMA as Associate Member

6 DAYS AGO

This week the Valve Manufacturers Association (VMA) welcomes Thermodyn Corporation as an official associate supplier member. This is VMA's third new member in 2017.

In 1979, Thermodyn began business with the dual purpose of selling A.W. Chesterton products and manufacturing high-temperature elastomers ...

Readmore

U.S. Fuel Ethanol Production Continues to Grow in 2017

12 HOURS AGO

Through the first six months of 2017, U.S. weekly ethanol production averaged 1.02 million barrels per day (b/d), an increase of 5% over the same period in 2016. On a weekly basis, U.S. ethanol production set a record of 1.06 million b/d in the week of January 27, 2017, and it has averaged near or a...

Readmore

LyondellBasell to Build the World's Largest PO/TBA Plant

3 DAYS AGO

LyondellBasell has made the final investment decision to build the world's largest propylene oxide (PO) and tertiary butyl alcohol (TBA) plant in the Houston area. The project is estimated to cost approximately $2.4 billion, representing the single-largest capital investment in the company's history...

Readmore

IMF Lowers 2017 Growth Forecast for U.S.

12 HOURS AGO

The growth forecast in the United States has been revised down from 2.3% to 2.1% in 2017 and from 2.5% to 2.1% in 2018, according to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook. While the markdown in the 2017 forecast reflects in part the weak growth outturn in the first quarter of the year, the major fa...

Readmore

Leading Economic Indicators Increased in June

3 DAYS AGO

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.6% in June to 127.8 (2010 = 100), following a 0.2% increase in May, and a 0.2% increase in April.

“The U.S. LEI rose sharply in June, pointing to continued growth in the U.S. economy and perhaps even a moderate improvement...

Readmore

2009 Market Outlook: Riding Out The Storm

The atmosphere at VMA's Annual Market Outlook Workshop, held Aug. 14-15 in Boston, was more somber than in years' past as attendees-primarily manufacturers of valves, actuators, controls and pumps-listened to speaker after speaker predict continued, even worsening, troubles in the economy, in the United States and around the world.

 

Still, there were a few bright spots among the gloomy news: The power industry in general will remain strong, driven globally by the world's increased need for energy and affected here in North America by the need to tap into new and existing alternative energy sources. Nuclear in particular appears poised to take off in the U.S. as the general public, legislators and other policy-makers accept that nuclear can be a safe, cleaner way to get power. And for the short term, the upstream oil and gas marketplace is actually doing better than predicted a year ago as a reacceleration plays out that may well last into 2009.

Most left knowing that darker times may be coming, but that the North American valve industry has "been there, done that," and with proper preparation and knowledge about new markets and opportunities-global and domestic-their companies can survive this inevitable downturn and come out the other side stronger than ever.

Here's what our speakers had to say:

DOMESTIC ECONOMY
Yes, the Recession is Still Coming

Many people who attended past forecasting conferences were anxious to hear what Alan Beaulieu, economist with the Institute for Trend Research, had to say-not just because he's an entertaining speaker, but because his prediction last year for the U.S. economy was rather bleak-a good 2008, but a recession by 2009.

As far as 2008: "I'm glad you've been enjoying the year," Beaulieu joked, "but the U.S. is softening. Everything you heard in the first half of 2008-all that concern-was just the band warming up."

"This time next year, we will be recognizing that we are in a full-fledged recession," he said. The same will be said in Europe and in China (whether that country recognizes it or not, Beaulieu commented).

Consumers will lead the parade into the downturn, he said, helped along in part by the fact that despite the current woes, we have had poor leadership in this country. For example: "We are a debtor nation. The richest nation on Earth but we can't pay our bills."

Inflation will be a major pressure, he added, because even though officials and experts say the core inflation rate is "only" 3 to 4%, that rate doesn't take into account energy and food. The Consumer Price Index, on the other hand, is 5.6%, which is high, he pointed out.

When people's budgets are hit as hard as they are being hit at present by food, energy and other daily needs, "they stop spending, and that brings a recession," Beaulieu said.

As far as other locations around the globe, "when the U.S. gets a cold, so does the rest of the world," he said.

Still, Beaulieu was not all doom and gloom.

U.S. industry is "doing wonderful things," he exclaimed. They are proficient in selling to the rest of the world, they have the most competitive work force in the world, and they have twice the output of the emerging giant China.

What it will come down to for industry is what's happening at the company level, he said. "If you are doing well, you have to ask: how can I prepare?"

Among his suggestions:

  • Help your margins by differentiating your company from competitors, and then let everyone who works for your company know how you're different.
  • Develop quantifiable reasons you are better than your competition. "What people want in a downturn is a metric. [They want to hear:]
  • 'I can fix this problem on the first go-around, and I can fix it in four hours, not six,'" Beaulieu explained. Clients want to know that quality is more than an adverb.
  • Consider taking on subcontract work if the backside of the cycle begins to look recessionary.
  • Begin missionary efforts into new markets.
  • Freeze expansion plans unless they are related to the logical next step for a particular company. If those plans are made just to expand the company's reach, rethink those plans.

When things start leaning into a recessionary cycle, Beaulieu suggested:

  • Begin reducing work forces. Don't tell employees that everyone will keep their jobs, but let them know most people will be okay-we've been through this before.
  • Set budget reduction goals by department.
  • Avoid long-term purchasing commitments.
  • Find a way to do business in the counter cyclical or unaffected areas (e.g. energy, travel, green, Canada/exports, higher education, healthcare, etc.).

  • Latest Post

  • Popular

  • Links

  • Events

Advertisement

Looking for a career in the Valve Industry?

ValveCareers Horiz

To learn more, watch the videos below or visit ValveCareers.com a special initiative of the Valve Manufacturers Association